Develop an Empirical Formula for Grid Dependency of a PV/Battery System in Vietnam using Autoregressive Method

Thi Hoai Thu Nguyen1,
1 Truong Dai hoc Bach khoa Ha Noi - So 1, Dai Co Viet, Hai Ba Trung, Ha Noi

Main Article Content

Abstract

This paper aims at developing an empirical formula for grid dependency for PV/battery supplying to several different kinds of demand. First, the GD was calculated based on the time series of the statistic weather data at 7 locations in Vietnam over 15 years and corresponding to different capacity of PV and battery. From the results, the GD can be estimated based on the total solar radiation without the time series and the location. Then the research established a formula for GD as a function of the annual total radiation, the capacity of battery and PV using autoregressive model. The developed formula has a high accuracy in quickly estimating the GD of the system. Moreover, it was also verified by applying to another location and compared with the results obtained by directly calculating from the time series of irradiation.

Article Details

References

[1]. M. Iqbalb, M. Azam, M. Naeem, A.S. Khwaja, A. Anpalagan, Optimization classification algorithms và tools for renewable energy: A review, Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev 39 (2014) 640–654
[2]. T.T.H. Nguyen, T. Nakayama, M. Ishida, Power Control Method Using Kalman Filter Prediction for Stable Operation of PV/FC/LiB Hybrid Power System Based on Experimental Dynamic Characteristics, J Jpn Inst Energy, 94 (2015) 532-541
[3]. A.R.De, L. Musgrove, The optimization of hybrid energy conversion systems using the dynamic programming model - Rapsody, Int J Energy Res 12(1988) 447-457
[4]. Yang HX, Lu L., Zhou W. A novel optimization sizing model for hybrid solar – wind power generation system, Sol. Energy, 81(1) (2007) 76-84.
[5]. Borowy BS, Salameh ZM. Methodology for optimally sizing the combination of a battery bank and PV array in a wind/PV hybrid system. IEEE Energy Conver 11(2) (1996) 367-373.
[6]. Diaf, G. Notton, M. Belhamel, M. Haddadi, A. Louche, Design and techno-economical optimization for hybrid PV/wind system under various meteorological conditions, Appl Energy 85 (2008) 968–987.
[7]. KA Kashefi, GH Riahy, SHM Kouhsari, Optimal design of a reliable hydrogen-based stand-alone wind/PV generating system, considering component outages. Renew Energy 2009, 34, 2380–90.
[8]. Zachariah Iverson, Ajit Achuthan, Pier Marzocca, Daryush Aidun, Optimal design of hybrid renewable energy systems (HRES) using hydrogen storage technology for data center applications, Renew Energy 52 (2013) 79–87.
[9]. T.H.T. Nguyen, T. Nakayama, M. Ishida, Optimal capacity design of battery and hydrogen system for the DC grid with photovoltaic power generation based on the rapid estimation of grid dependency, Int J Elec Power, 89 (2017) 27-39